One point separates Flamengo and Palmeiras with 12 rounds left

The Brasileirao Serie A title race is separated by one point with 12 rounds remaining. Flamengo lead with 54 points from 26 games, while Palmeiras have 53 from 26. Each club has 36 points still available across the final 12 rounds, so neither position is mathematically settled. The league has 20 teams and 38 rounds in total, leaving the closing phase open at both ends of the table.

Title race: Flamengo hold a one-point advantage

Flamengo’s 54 points give them a one-point lead over Palmeiras, with both teams having played 26 games and carrying 12 fixtures in the standard schedule. Flamengo also have the stronger goal difference, +30 compared with Palmeiras’ +24, a six-goal advantage that could matter if the teams finish level on points. Their recent sequences point in different directions: Flamengo’s form is WWWLW, with four wins and one defeat in their last five, while Palmeiras are DDWLD, with one win, two draws and one defeat in that same span. Flamengo therefore enter the final 12 rounds with the lead and the stronger recent points return, but Palmeiras remain within one point and can still collect 36 more.

The gap to third place is 9 points: Atletico Paranaense have 45. With 36 points available, Atletico remain within mathematical reach of first, as do Fluminense on 45, Bahia on 43 and Cruzeiro on 42. No team in the listed top six has secured the title, and no outcome can be confirmed before the remaining 12 rounds are played.

Chasing pack: four teams remain within 12 points of first

Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense sit joint third on 45 points, 9 behind Flamengo and 8 behind Palmeiras. Atletico’s goal difference is +10, two better than Fluminense’s +8. Their recent form is LDWDW, producing two wins, two draws and one defeat in five games; Fluminense’s WDWWD contains three wins and two draws, so Fluminense bring the stronger unbeaten sequence into the final 12 rounds. Both have 36 points available.

Bahia are fifth on 43 points, 11 behind Flamengo and 10 behind Palmeiras, with a +8 goal difference. Their WWWDD form includes three wins followed by two draws, giving them an unbeaten last five. Cruzeiro are sixth on 42, 12 behind the leader and 11 behind second, with a +1 goal difference. Their WLWWW sequence contains four wins and one defeat, the best win count among the six listed teams over the last five games. Bahia and Cruzeiro each have 36 points available, so the chase for the top positions remains mathematically open.

Relegation battle: no points separate safety from the drop zone

The bottom three places are currently occupied by Vasco DA Gama, Internacional and Remo, but the relegation line is level on points with the final safe position. Gremio are 15th on 28 points, while Mirassol are 16th on 28, meaning the gap from safety to the drop zone is 0 points. Vasco and Internacional are both on 25, 3 behind the current safe mark; Remo have 23, 5 behind; and Chapecoense-sc are bottom on 17, 11 behind Gremio and Mirassol.

The recent form gives Gremio, despite being 15th, a mixed WLLWD record across five games, while Mirassol’s WLDDL includes one win, one draw and three defeats. Vasco’s LWLLD has one win, one draw and three defeats; Internacional’s LLDDD has two draws and three losses; Remo’s LLLDD has two draws after three defeats; and Chapecoense-sc’s WLWDL has two wins, one draw and two defeats. All have points still available in the final 12 rounds, although Gremio have played 24 games and Vasco and Chapecoense-sc 25, compared with 26 for the other listed teams. On the stated 38-game schedule, that leaves Gremio with 14 fixtures and Vasco and Chapecoense-sc with 13, while the remaining teams have 12.