Nashville’s 27-point edge puts Toronto’s home record under scrutiny
An in-depth analysis of the tactical battle ahead

Toronto FC

Nashville SC
Toronto FC host Nashville SC at BMO Field today, with the Eastern Conference leaders carrying a 27-point advantage into Regular Season Round 24. Nashville’s 16-5-2 record meets a Toronto side ranked 11th after 23 matches, making the table gap the central storyline at the 23:30 UTC kickoff.
What's at stake
Toronto have 26 points from 23 games, while Nashville lead the conference with 53. A Toronto win would move them to 29 points and reduce the current gap to 24, whereas Nashville can protect their position at the top with a result against a team that has 5 wins, 11 draws and 7 losses.
The numbers
Toronto’s home record is difficult to separate from their defensive figures: they are 3W 8D 2L at BMO Field, have scored 27 goals and conceded 27, and have kept no clean sheets. Overall, Toronto have allowed 42 goals in 23 matches.
Nashville’s away numbers provide a sharp contrast. They are 5W 4D 2L on the road, have scored 11 times and conceded only five, with seven clean sheets. Their overall record includes 47 goals scored and 17 conceded, while Toronto’s most recent listed form ends with two draws.
One to watch
S. Surridge is Nashville’s leading scorer among the players listed, with 13 goals in 17 appearances. H. Mukhtar adds 10 goals and six assists in 23 appearances, giving Toronto two named attacking threats to monitor against an away defence that has recorded seven clean sheets.
Why it matters
For Toronto, today is an opportunity to turn a strong 3W 8D 2L home record into a meaningful reduction of the 27-point deficit. For Nashville, the match is a chance to maintain their 53-point lead and reinforce the defensive edge shown by five goals conceded away from home.
By the numbers
The data behind Toronto FC vs Nashville SC, in 4 charts.
The season so far
Wins, draws and losses side by side
Two different teams?
Home and away form for Toronto FC
Who wins more often?
Share of league games won this season
How they line up
Most-used formations this season
The table as it stands
| Logo | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | LWWLW | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 21 | 43 | |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | DDLWW | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 26 | 40 | |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | DDDLL | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 24 | 37 | |
| 4 | FC Dallas | WDLWW | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 45 | 40 | 37 | |
| 5 | St. Louis City | WDWDW | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 31 | 37 | |
| 6 | San Jose Earthquakes | DDLLL | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 35 | |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | LWLWW | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 31 | 31 | |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | WLDWL | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 31 | |
| 9 | San Diego | LWWLW | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 30 | |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | DLLLD | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 29 | |
| 11 | Minnesota United FC | LDWLD | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 37 | 29 | |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | WLDWL | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 29 | |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | DDDLL | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 27 | |
| 14 | Austin | DWDWL | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 42 | 25 | |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | LLLDL | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 58 | 15 | |
| 1 | Nashville SC | DWWWW | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 47 | 17 | 53 | |
| 2 | Inter Miami | DWLDL | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 43 | 43 | |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | DDDWW | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 38 | |
| 4 | New England Revolution | LWDWL | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 37 | |
| 5 | Charlotte | DWWDW | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 36 | |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | LDWDW | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 51 | 31 | |
| 7 | New York City FC | DDDLL | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 29 | |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | WDWLD | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 54 | 28 | |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union | WWDDW | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 39 | 27 | |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | DLDLL | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 46 | 27 | |
| 11 | Toronto FC | DDWDW | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 42 | 26 | |
| 12 | DC United | DLLDD | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 36 | 25 | |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | WLLLL | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | 23 | |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | DLWWW | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 40 | 22 | |
| 15 | CF Montreal | LLDWD | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 48 | 21 |