Gremio’s Six Home Wins Put Pressure on Winless Away Chapecoense-sc

A 11-point gap gives Gremio a chance to strengthen their position

Gremio host Chapecoense-sc in Serie A’s 25th regular-season round on Sunday, August 30, with kickoff scheduled for 21:30 UTC in Porto Alegre. Referee R. Pereira will oversee a meeting between the team ranked 15th and the side at the foot of the table.

Gremio have 25 points from 23 matches, six wins, seven draws and 10 defeats, with a goal difference of -7. Chapecoense-sc have collected 14 points from the same number of games, recording two wins, eight draws and 13 losses, while their goal difference stands at -22. Palmeiras lead the league on 51 points, leaving Gremio 26 points behind and Chapecoense-sc 37 adrift.

Home strength against an away weakness

The venue statistics point towards a demanding assignment for the visitors. Gremio’s home record is six wins, three draws and two losses, with 18 goals scored and 13 conceded. They have also kept three clean sheets at home. Chapecoense-sc, by contrast, are still without an away win, taking three draws and suffering eight defeats. They have scored only seven away goals, conceded 19 and kept no clean sheets on the road.

Gremio most often use a 4-1-4-1, selected in eight matches, while their 4-2-3-1 has appeared seven times. Their other regular options include a 4-3-3 and two three-at-the-back systems. Chapecoense-sc’s most-used shape is a 4-2-3-1, deployed six times, but their formation list also features 3-4-1-2 and 3-4-3 systems. The tactical question will be whether Gremio can use their home structure to control the game while Chapecoense-sc find enough attacking support from their changing setups.

Form and selection issues

Gremio’s most recent five results read loss, loss, draw, win and loss, so their home advantage comes with uneven momentum. Chapecoense-sc have taken two wins, two draws and one loss across their last five, offering a more encouraging recent sequence despite their overall record. The table makes the points important for both teams: Gremio can create more distance from 20th place, while Chapecoense-sc need to turn improved recent results into a sustained push.

Gremio will be without Dodi and J. Nardoni through knee injuries, while E. Noriega is unavailable because of yellow-card accumulation. Chapecoense-sc have several absences, including Y. Bolasie and Max Alves through injury, Rafael Carvalheira and Robert Conceicao with knee injuries, Camilo Reijers through yellow-card accumulation, Joao Paulo because of health problems, and Bruno Tubarao as inactive. Those missing players could limit the visitors’ options as they try to manage Gremio’s stronger home record.

Prediction

Gremio 2-0 Chapecoense-sc. Gremio’s six home wins and Chapecoense-sc’s winless away record suggest the hosts will have enough control to secure three points without conceding.